The Market Just Crossed a Dangerous Line

The man who predicted the 2008 crash and 2020 says today's soaring markets are NOT a bubble - they're something far stranger and more dangerous. He says it's about to change everything you know about money.

Powell: Federal Reserve to stay on hold amid widespread economic uncertainty

CHRISTOPHER RUGABER
March 07, 2025

NEW YORK (AP) -- The Federal Reserve is likely to keep its key interest rate unchanged in the coming months as it waits for widespread "uncertainty" stemming from President Donald Trump's policies to resolve, Chair Jerome Powell said in written remarks to be delivered Friday in New York.

Powell said the Trump administration is making policy changes in several areas, including trade, taxes, government spending, immigration and regulation, and added that the "net effect" of those changes are what will matter for the economy and the Fed's interest rate policies.

"While there have been recent developments in some of these areas, especially trade policy, uncertainty around the changes and their likely effects remains high," Powell said. "As we parse the incoming information, we are focused on separating the signal from the noise as the outlook evolves. We do not need to be in a hurry, and are well positioned to wait for greater clarity."

Most economists say that Trump's plans to slap tariffs on a wide array of imports, including 25% duties on goods from Canada and Mexico that he partially delayed Thursday, will push up prices and slow growth. But many also expect that tax cuts and deregulation could boost the economy.

Powell said the economy remains mostly healthy despite "elevated uncertainty." He characterized Friday's jobs report, which showed employers added 151,000 jobs and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.1%, as in line with the "solid" gains of the past six months.

He also noted that there were signs consumer spending has slowed compared with the healthy gains in the second half of last year, and said surveys of consumers and businesses "point to heightened uncertainty about the economic outlook."

The Fed's own beige book, a collection of anecdotes from hundreds of businesses, mentioned uncertainty 47 times in its latest edition released Wednesday, up from just 17 times in January. The Fed publishes the beige book eight times a year.

Powell spoke at a conference organized by the University of Chicago's Booth School of Business.

President Donald Trump's on-again, off-again tariff policy and rapid-fire layoffs of government workers has created a spike in uncertainty among businesses and caused a sharp drop in consumer confidence. Many economists have marked down their estimates for the economy's growth to as low as 1% at an annual rate in the first three months of this year, down from 2.3% in last year's final quarter.

Wall Street traders, as a result, have boosted their forecasts for rate cuts, with futures pricing indicating they now expect three rate cuts by the Fed this year, up from just one a month or so ago. Those rate reductions could help bring down borrowing costs for mortgages, auto loans, credit cards, and business loans.

Yet as Fed governor Christopher Waller noted Thursday, there are "good news" cuts and "bad news" cuts. "Bad news" cuts occur if the Fed reduces rates out of concern that the economy is slowing, while "good news" reductions are those that reflect a sense by the Fed that inflation is returning to its target of 2%.

Waller added that he still believes it will be possible for the Fed to engineer "good news" rate cuts later this year, though he dismissed the potential for a cut at the Fed's next meeting this month.

After cutting its key rate three times last year to about 4.3%, Powell indicated in January that the Fed would pause any further cuts amid signs that inflation has remained stuck above its target. The central bank's preferred inflation gauge shows that prices rose 2.5% in January compared with a year ago. Excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core prices rose 2.6%, the smallest increase since June.

Continue Reading...

Popular

Velo3D Stock Soars After Q3 Earnings: Highlights From The Report

Shares of Velo3D, Inc. (NASDAQ:VELO) are rising Tuesday after the metal 3D printing company reported third-quarter earnings results.

Asian shares are mostly lower despite Wall St rally and a potential end to the US shutdown

BANGKOK (AP) — Asian shares were mostly lower on Tuesday as the recent rebound fueled by buying of technology shares lost steam.

If You Hold Any Dollars in Your Bank Account, Read This... - Ad

Strange events are unfolding in the global financial system. A monetary reset dubbed the "Mar-a-Lago Accord" is quietly in motion, and the financial elite are already taking protective action. If history is any guide, you could lose up to 40% of your wealth in the next two years. Move your money before it's too late.

Indigenous groups get the spotlight at UN climate talks, but some say visibility isn't power

BELEM, Brazil (AP) — Indigenous people are used to adapting, so when the power failed at their kickoff event at this year's , they rolled with it. Participants from around the world sweated through song, dance and prayers, improvising without microphones and cooling themselves with fans made of paper or leaves.

Everyday volunteers are providing stopgap services during the shutdown in a show of community power

NEW YORK (AP) — It started with a late October meeting between a lifestyle entrepreneur, a marketing professional, a restaurant owner and a social worker at a brewery in the Florida panhandle. Within hours, Pensacola Grocery Buddies was born.

Better Than Bitcoin? (Top Crypto for Less Than $1) - Ad

Over the past 15 years, Bitcoin has outperformed stocks, bonds, and every other asset you could've bought. 2025 is already shaping up to be another banner year, with Bitcoin recently hitting a new all-time high. But there's a better way to profit from this new crypto rally. Most people don't know about it... and yet it's returned over 1,000% in 4 months. This could be the #1 way to invest in crypto right now.

16 Stocks To Buy If You Want To Escape The AI Hype

Bank of America is pointing investors toward 16 overlooked stocks with strong fundamentals and no direct ties to the AI boom—offering a safer path beyond the hype.

Japan's SoftBank says it has sold its shares in Nvidia for $5.8 billion

TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology company SoftBank Group Corp. said Tuesday that it has sold all the Nvidia Corp. shares that it owned for $5.83 billion, while it reported higher than expected profit in the first half of this fiscal year.

Bitcoin's Pullback Could Be Your Gain - Ad

More than 70 cryptos have recently outperformed Bitcoin and it's not the first time. During crypto's last bull market the top 100 coins NOT named Bitcoin went up by 174%. Now the signs show that it's happening again. This could be a chance to strike gold in some far corners of the crypto market.

Axon Enterprise: From TASER To AI-Powered Public Safety Platform

Axon Enterprise is executing an interesting transition from hardware vendor to high-margin SaaS and AI platform...

Lawsuit challenges TSA's ban on transgender officers conducting pat-downs

A Virginia transportation security officer is accusing the U.S. Department of Homeland Security of sex discrimination over a policy that bars transgender officers from performing security screening pat-downs, according to a federal lawsuit.

Weiss Gold Veteran Makes Shocking New Call - Ad

Weiss expert Sean Brodrick went out on a limb last year and declared a historic event would send the yellow metal to $3,150. People laughed at him at the time, but he was off by just two days. Now, Sean has a shocking new prediction for gold ... and reveals a little-known way to get ahead of this bull market.

How Tyson's Chicken Business Will Offset Beef Weakness

Tyson shares rise as pricing catch-up expected to ease cost pressures; chicken strength offsets beef headwinds amid stable feed costs.

Trump Signs Law to Launch Dollar 2.0 - Ad

Trump just signed law S.1582, unleashing the biggest money shift in 100+ years. For the first time since 1913, private firms - not the Fed - can mint a "Dollar 2.0." Treasury says it could drain $6.6T from banks and pay 10X current savings rates. Early investors in minting firms could see 40X returns by 2032.

Marjorie Taylor Greene Goes Bargain Shopping, Discloses Buying These Two Stocks At 52-Week Lows

Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene disclosed some new stocks recently. Unlike past trades in 2024 and 2025, the latest disclosure is rather unique.

Elon Musk Says Tesla, xAI Are 'Trending Towards Convergence' In Some Ways

Elon Musk's companies could potentially merge in the future as he continues to integrate AI into his ventures.

Elon's $25 Trillion Confession - Ad

Elon Musk: "Tesla will become a $25 trillion company." That would make Tesla 8x bigger than Apple today. How is that possible? He admits it's all thanks to this one AI breakthrough that will take AI out of our computer screens and manifest a 250x boom here in the real world.

Why Is Occidental Petroleum Stock Gaining Tuesday?

Analysts highlight OXY's robust earnings, production guidance, and expanded resource base as key growth drivers.

Trump attacks ABC News correspondent Mary Bruce in angry response to three sharp questions

NEW YORK (AP) — President Donald Trump denounced ABC News' Mary Bruce as a “terrible reporter” Tuesday and threatened the network's license to broadcast after she asked him three sharp questions at the White House.

Legally "Skim" $6,361 Into Your Account? - Ad

A former hedge fund manager is now sharing his "Skim Codes" with regular people. They're not stocks. They're not crypto. They're 18-character codes designed to profit from recent market conditions. All you have to do is punch them into an ordinary brokerage account. 84% of these codes have given people the chance to generate cash payouts so far... and his next code is going out any day now.

Investing Legend Hints the End May Be Near for These 3 Iconic Stocks - Ad

Futurist Eric Fry say Amazon, Tesla and Nvidia are all on the verge of major disruption. To help protect anyone with money invested in them, he's sharing three exciting stocks to replace them with. He gives away the names and tickers completely free in his brand-new "Sell This, Buy That" broadcast.

TSMC Ex-VP's Home Raided As Chip Giant Alleges Intel Recruit Leaked Trade Secrets

Taiwan prosecutors raided the homes of a former TSMC vice president accused of leaking advanced chipmaking secrets to Intel, a claim Intel firmly denies as the high-stakes investigation intensifies.

Trump Triggered 70% Gains Overnight -- This Rare Earths Stock Could Be Next - Ad

Trump's turning tiny mining stocks into overnight fortunes... and this little-known rare earths miner could be his next billion-dollar BUY. If Trump cuts a deal you could see a 50% to 200% pop overnight. But you must act before the next deal hits the wire.

Trump May Formally Offer Putin Control of Occupied Ukrainian Land in Proposed Peace Deal

The U.S. is reportedly prepared to formally acknowledge Russia's hold over Crimea and parts of eastern and southern Ukraine as part of a proposed agreement to end the war.

Wall Street Roars Back As Rate-Cut Odds Surge — This Week In Markets

Stocks rallied on rising Fed rate cut bets for December, with Alphabet hitting $4T and health care, auto sectors showing renewed strength.

The Market Just Crossed a Dangerous Line - Ad

The man who predicted the 2008 crash and 2020 says today's soaring markets are NOT a bubble - they're something far stranger and more dangerous. He says it's about to change everything you know about money.

Iran confirms seizure of oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz

TEHRAN, Iran (AP) — Iran on Saturday confirmed as it traveled through the narrow Strait of Hormuz over violations including carrying an illegal consignment, state media reported.

Canada's prime minister and Alberta's premier sign pipeline deal that could reverse oil tanker ban

TORONTO (AP) — and the premier of Canada’s oil rich province of Alberta agreed Thursday to work toward building a pipeline to the Pacific Coast to diversify the country’s oil exports beyond the United States, in a move that has caused turmoil in Carney's inner circle.

If You Hold Any Dollars in Your Bank Account, Read This... - Ad

Strange events are unfolding in the global financial system. A monetary reset dubbed the "Mar-a-Lago Accord" is quietly in motion, and the financial elite are already taking protective action. If history is any guide, you could lose up to 40% of your wealth in the next two years. Move your money before it's too late.

California revokes 17,000 driver's licenses. But the state disputes it is over immigration concerns

California plans to revoke 17,000 commercial driver’s licenses given to immigrants after the Trump administration raised concerns about people in the country illegally receiving licenses to drive a semitruck or a bus. But Gov. Gavin Newsom said that isn't the reason.

SMX Is Exploding: Here's Why This Tech Stock Is Up Over 1,000% This Week

Volatility intensified after SMX issued a flurry of press releases framing its technology as a critical solution for global trade security

Better Than Bitcoin? (Top Crypto for Less Than $1) - Ad

Over the past 15 years, Bitcoin has outperformed stocks, bonds, and every other asset you could've bought. 2025 is already shaping up to be another banner year, with Bitcoin recently hitting a new all-time high. But there's a better way to profit from this new crypto rally. Most people don't know about it... and yet it's returned over 1,000% in 4 months. This could be the #1 way to invest in crypto right now.

OpenAI's Partners Rake Up $96 Billion Debt as AI Industry's Borrowing Trend Escalates

Companies supplying data centers, chips, and processing power to OpenAI have racked up a staggering $96 billion in debt to fund their operations.

Bitcoin's Pullback Could Be Your Gain - Ad

More than 70 cryptos have recently outperformed Bitcoin and it's not the first time. During crypto's last bull market the top 100 coins NOT named Bitcoin went up by 174%. Now the signs show that it's happening again. This could be a chance to strike gold in some far corners of the crypto market.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright systemtrading.ca
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service