Crypto Analyst Flags Convertible Debt-Induced Liquidation Risk To Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy

Aniket Verma

November 27, 2024

Influential cryptocurrency analyst Willy Woo shared his perspective on the potential liquidation risk of MicroStrategy Incorporated (NASDAQ:MSTR), a firm whose aggressive Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) acquisition strategy has sparked significant interest lately.

What Happened: On Wednesday, Woo took to X to state that the primary risk lies in the company’s convertible debt offerings.

He said that if the buyers of the convertible debt do not convert to shares before maturity, MicroStrategy would be forced to sell Bitcoin to repay the debt holders.

Woo argued that this scenario would occur if MicroStrategy’s stock didn’t increase by roughly 40% within the next 5-7 years.

Thoughts on MSTR Liquidation Risk:

The only liquidation risk I can see is via their convertible debt offerings:

1) If convertible debt buyers do not convert to shares before maturity, it forces MSTR to sell BTC to reimburse debt holders.

2) This would happen if MSTR doesn'tâ€¦ pic.twitter.com/GFIOeAqQPL
— Willy Woo (@woonomic) November 27, 2024

The analyst also underlined several other risks of varying degrees.

He argued that other corporations replicating MicroStrategy’s playbook could result in reducing its net asset value (NAV) premium—the ratio of the firm’s market value to its Bitcoin holdings value.

Furthermore, risks such as the SEC acting to limit future Bitcoin purchases and the U.S. government nationalizing and confiscating the asset were raised.

See Also: Here’s How Much $100 Invested In XRP Token Today Will Be Worth If Crypto Returns To All-Time Highs

Why It Matters: For the curious, a convertible note is a hybrid instrument that can be exchanged for equity in the company at a later date. The conversion feature of these notes eventually helps the debt holders to participate in the equity upside on conversion.

The Michael Saylor-led firm has been issuing these bonds at 0% interest, using the proceeds to fund its future Bitcoin purchases.

Woo’s comments followed renowned investment adviser Gary Black’s aspersions on the valuation of MicroStrategy.

Black estimated that MicroStrategy's shares should be worth about $105/share, a figure 73% lower than its current trading price.

Price Action: Over the past month, MicroStrategy’s stock has surged 58.94%, outperforming even the famed "Magnificent 7" group of companies. The stock popped 9.94% to $388.84 during Wednesday’s regular session.

Image via Shutterstock

Read Next:

Trump HHS Pick Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s Wealth Comes From Family, Law Practice, Oil, Bitcoin

Recommended

The Tesla Shock Nobody Sees Coming - Ad

Elon's New Device Could Launch Biggest IPO of the Decade - Ad

What It's Really Like To Work With Elon... - Ad

WASHINGTON (AP) — President keeps saying that Republicans' mega legislation will eliminate taxes on federal benefits.

Jeff Bezos, Lauren Sanchez Get Married In A $50 Million Wedding In Venice: From Foam Party On His $500 Million Yatch To Goodie Bags, Here's What We Know

Jeff Bezos and Lauren Sánchez's extravagant $50 million wedding in Venice included a foam party on his $500 million yacht.

Make This Move Before Nvidia's Critical Update (Unique Play)

Make This Move Before Nvidia's Critical Update (Unique Play) - Ad

Nvidia's CEO is about to say five simple words that could ignite the next explosive phase of the AI boom. It's not about tariffs or China--but it could change everything. This moment could define the biggest profit wave yet.

Bernie Sanders Shares First Thing He Would Do As President — And It Could Be A Jab At Elon Musk

Bernie Sanders lost the 2016 and 2020 presidential races. In a recent interview, Sanders shared what he would do first if he were president.

These are the celebs who are attending Jeff Bezos’ Venice wedding

VENICE, Italy (AP) — arrived in Venice on Thursday, leading a star-studded guest list of celebrities descending on the lagoon city for the weekend wedding of Amazon founder Jeff Bezos and Lauren Sánchez.

How to Hack a $1.3T Market

How to Hack a $1.3T Market - Ad

Forget concrete. The new foundation for real estate success is digital, and Pacaso leads the way. Their tech unlocks a $1.3T real estate market. They've already earned $110M+ in gross profits in their operating history and reserved the Nasdaq ticker PCSO.

FDA requires updated warning about rare heart risk with COVID shots

WASHINGTON (AP) — said Wednesday it has expanded existing warnings on the two leading COVID-19 vaccines about a rare heart side effect mainly seen in young men.

Greenland has a message for the rest of the world: Come visit

NUUK, Greenland (AP) — has a message for the rest of the world: We’re waiting for you.

Have You Seen this Strange Elon Musk Device?

Have You Seen this Strange Elon Musk Device? - Ad

Tech legend Jeff Brown predicts this "space technology" will be Elon Musk's next trillion-dollar business, and it will make a lot of people rich. This could be the biggest internet innovation since the first web browser Netscape kicked off the internet boom in the late 1990s.

VC Insists Only '996' Culture Can Propel Toward Billion-Dollar Startups, But Reveals 'There Is Nuance'

Venture capitalist Harry Stebbings argues that founders who work 5 days a week won't lead a $10B company. He says 7-day weeks are necessary for AI dominance. Critics called it toxic, but others like Shark Tank's Kevin O'Leary and Google's Sergey Brin agree.

Occidental Petroleum, Exxon Mobil, Chevron Surge In Monday Pre-Market: What's Going On?

Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE: OXY), Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE: XOM) and Chevron Corp (NYSE: CVX) climbed 1.95%, 1.53% and 1.31% during Monday pre-market trading session after oil prices have skyrocketed to their highest point since January, sparking concerns about potential supply disruptions.

Is Elon's Empire Crumbling?

Is Elon's Empire Crumbling? - Ad

Jeff Brown - the legend who called Tesla and Nvidia early - says Elon is about to launch a $25T AI revolution. This isn't another chatbot. It's real-world AI that could 14X the impact of ChatGPT. But after July 23rd, it may be too late.

Iran’s president orders country to suspend cooperation with UN nuclear watchdog IAEA

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Iran’s president on Wednesday ordered the country to suspend its cooperation with after American and Israeli airstrikes hit its most-important nuclear facilities, likely further limiting inspectors' ability to track Tehran's program that had been enriching uranium to near weapons-grade levels.

Elon Musk Says 'Clear Path' To Restoring Hearing With Neuralink, But The Deaf Community Want To Have Their 'Say'

Elon Musk's Neuralink faces backlash from the deaf community after proposing brain implant technology to restore hearing, with deaf adults calling for inclusion in the research process.

A Historic Gold Announcement Is About to Rock Wall Street

A Historic Gold Announcement Is About to Rock Wall Street - Ad

The greatest investor of all time is about to validate what Garrett Goggin has been saying for months: Gold is entering a once-in-a-generation mania. Front-running Buffett has never been more urgent - and four tiny miners could be your ticket to 100X gains.

Japan launches a climate change monitoring satellite on mainstay H2A rocket's last flight

TOKYO (AP) — Japan on Sunday launched a satellite to monitor greenhouse gas emissions using its mainstay rocket, which made its final flight before it is replaced by a new flagship designed to be more cost competitive in the global space market.

Dave Ramsey Has Blunt Advice On How Much To Spend To Keep A Pet Dog Alive: 'I've Seen People Spend Tens Of Thousands Of Dollars…'

Dave Ramsey offers tough advice to pet owners facing financial difficulties. He advises against going into debt to keep pets alive.

Buffett's Favorite Chart Just Hit 209% - Here's What That Means For Gold

Buffett's Favorite Chart Just Hit 209% - Here's What That Means For Gold - Ad

Buffett's favorite market signal just hit its highest level in history-stocks are more overvalued than 1929. He's sitting on $325B in cash... and may be about to buy one overlooked gold miner. I've identified it-plus 4 others with up to 100X potential.

Donald Trump Drops Hint About Potential TikTok Buyer, But Keeps Details Close To His Chest

President Trump has indicated the presence of a potential buyer for the US operations of TikTok.

DOGE-Fame 'Big Balls' Is Reportedly Leaving The Government Department Once Headed By Elon Musk — Dogecoin Price Rises

Another key figure at the Department of Government Efficiency, nicknamed “Big Balls”, has reportedly stepped down, following the exit of Elon Musk from the federal initiative meant to reduce wasteful spending.

Copper's Spiking - And This Junior Has the Grades to Match

Copper's Spiking - And This Junior Has the Grades to Match - Ad

Copper is climbing again - and this time, it looks tariff-proof. A $31M junior just posted nearly 1B lbs of copper equivalent. With insiders and institutions piling in, this could be the next breakout.

LOCALIZE IT: Tariffs could impact next year's fireworks displays and sales; see state consumer laws

EDITORS/NEWS DIRECTORS:

Ivy League MBA Was A 'Waste Of Time,' Says Veteran Banker, Lists Two Key Traits Far More Relevant In The AI Age

Standard Chartered CEO Bill Winters says his MBA was a waste of time, and today's leaders need curiosity and empathy, not just technical skills.

The Tesla Shock Nobody Sees Coming

The Tesla Shock Nobody Sees Coming - Ad

While headlines scream "Tesla is doomed"...Jeff Brown has uncovered a revolutionary AI breakthrough buried inside Tesla's labs. One that is helping AI escape from our computer screens and manifest itself here in the real world all while creating a 25,000% growth market explosion starting as early as July 23rd.

Trump's Crypto Ventures, Draper And Cathie Wood's Bitcoin Predictions, MSTR Estimates, And More: This Week In Crypto

The past week in the world of cryptocurrency was nothing short of eventful. From legislative moves aimed at curbing alleged corruption in cryptocurrency ventures to bold predictions about Bitcoin’s dominance, the week was filled with intriguing developments. Here’s a quick recap of the top stories that made headlines.

Over 400 Space Companies Plead Congress To Maintain Office Of Space Commerce Funding: Report

Space industry companies have made a plea to Congress, seeking to safeguard the funding for the Office of Space Commerce (OSC).

Elon's New Device Could Launch Biggest IPO of the Decade

Elon's New Device Could Launch Biggest IPO of the Decade - Ad

Elon Musk's new device is being called a "game-changer"-and even the White House is using this tech. Jeff Brown says it could launch Musk's next trillion-dollar company and make early investors rich. You can claim a stake now for as little as $500.

Business News Digest

AP Business Digest

Investors snap up growing share of US homes as traditional buyers struggle to afford one

LOS ANGELES (AP) — Real estate investors are snapping up a bigger share of U.S. homes on the market as rising prices and stubbornly high borrowing costs freeze out many other would-be homebuyers.

What It's Really Like To Work With Elon...

What It's Really Like To Work With Elon... - Ad

A business partner of mine recently told me how one morning, Elon's "DOGE Agents" simply showed up. The whole departments were merged. Dozens of tasks and contracts were reassigned. Several projects were permanently shut down and replaced. That's when he called me, and I realized what was happening.

US brings charges in North Korean remote worker scheme that officials say funds weapons program

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Justice Department announced criminal charges Monday in connection with a scheme by North Korea to fund its weapons program through the salaries of remote information technology workers employed unwittingly by U.S. companies.

US Stocks Likely To Open Higher, Continuing Record-Setting Advances: June Has Never Seen An All-Time High Since 1950, Highlights Expert

U.S. futures rose on Monday after a record close on Friday. Futures of major benchmark indices were trading higher.

Make This Move Before Nvidia's Critical Update (Unique Play)

Make This Move Before Nvidia's Critical Update (Unique Play) - Ad

Bye Bye Birdie: Twitter Blue Bird Logo Blown Up To Promote Online Marketplace Company

Elon Musk bought Twitter for $44 billion and rebranded it to X, auctioning off old memorabilia like the iconic blue bird logo. Ditchit, the buyer of the logo, recently blew it up in a promotional stunt.

What to Stream: Ryan Coogler’s 'Sinners,' a Kesha album, 'SharkFest' and John Cena with Idris Elba

Kesha enjoying her freedom on her first new album since she left her old label and Ryan Coogler’s guts-spilling vampire film “Sinners,” are some of the new television, films, music and games near you.

How to Hack a $1.3T Market

How to Hack a $1.3T Market - Ad

Bernie Sanders Warns Of 'Concentration of Ownership' In US Companies: 'That's Power'

Bernie Sanders claims Wall Street giants hold majority of US corporations, giving them power to steer economy & politics. Wants reform & better wages

Embed-chart-July Fourth-Pool Party Prices, ADVISORY

JULY FOURTH-POOL PARTY PRICES — chart. A market research company’s preliminary data shows that getting all the gear needed to host a pool party costs less than it has in years. This chart is current as of 07, 03, 2025 and will not update. Source: Numerator

Have You Seen this Strange Elon Musk Device?

Have You Seen this Strange Elon Musk Device? - Ad

Trump asks Supreme Court to remove 3 Democrats on the Consumer Product Safety Commission

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Trump administration on Wednesday asked the to remove three Democratic members of the , who were fired by President and then reinstated by a federal judge.

Trending Now